Carotid atherosclerotic plaque predicts progression of intracranial artery atherosclerosis: A MR imaging-based community cohort study

Purpose: Intracranial artery atherosclerosis (ICAS) progression is associated with stroke. However, the association of carotid plaque with ICAS progression among stroke-free participants is still unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the association between carotid plaque and ICAS progression in stroke-free participants. Method: Stroke-free participants were recruited from a community-based cohort study. All participants underwent questionnaire interviews, blood tests, and high-resolution vessel wall magnetic resonance (MR) imaging at baseline and follow-up for around three years. The atherosclerotic plaque was defined as eccentric wall thickening on MR imaging. The presence, location, total number, and burden (maximum wall thickness, length, and stenosis) of carotid and intracranial plaque were evaluated. ICAS progression was defined as the number increased or plaque burden (maximum wall thickness, length, or stenosis increase) increased by ≥ 20 %. The association between carotid plaque and ICAS progression was evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. Results: Of the 312 participants (mean age at baseline: 59.85 ± 13.04 years; 136 males) who completed baseline and follow-up studies with a mean time interval of 3.15 ± 0.59 years, 85 (27.24 %) had progression of ICAS during follow-up. At least one carotid plaque was detected at baseline in 167 (53.53 %) participants. In the multivariable logistic analysis, carotid plaque was a significant predictor for the progression of ICAS (odds ratio, 2.04; 95 % confidence interval, 1.06-3.92; P = 0.032). Conclusions: Carotid plaque is associated with intracranial artery atherosclerosis progression in stroke-free population. Our findings suggest that carotid plaque may be an effective predictor for intracranial artery atherosclerosis progression.